The board

Every market
on the board.

Ten cities, one number each, every day — and a full family of markets around it. Every line is peer-to-peer: another player holds the other side, and the official data decides who's right.

Trade in USDC on Solana Peer-to-peer · no house Settles noon ET from licensed data
Houston skyline at night
HOU
HoustonTotal Crime
Live
287.5line
241 reported so far · proj finish 289
Over61%Under39%
1The line — posted each morning per city, per market. Houston needs 288+ reports for overs to win.
2Live count & projection — incidents accumulate all day; the projection runs ahead of the lagging raw count.
3Crowd prices — 61% is what the other side of the market currently believes, not a bookmaker's odds.

The flagship family

Over / Under lines

The core market. Each city posts a daily line for five categories — call the official number over or under. Half-point lines mean there's never a push: the number is either over the line or it isn't.

Settles on raw count
CityTotal CrimeViolentVehicle TheftsBurglariesRobberies
New YorkNYC512.578.588.561.544.5
ChicagoCHI401.553.5121.544.531.5
Los AngelesLA356.561.594.552.528.5
HoustonHOU287.544.566.541.522.5
PhiladelphiaPHI243.541.547.529.519.5
DallasDAL198.531.552.537.517.5
PhoenixPHX176.529.558.533.516.5
MiamiMIA164.527.533.524.515.5
AtlantaATL141.524.539.522.513.5
St. LouisSTL88.518.526.514.59.5
Swipe sideways for all five markets · Illustrative lines. Real lines are posted each morning from historical settlement data and early-day pace, and move with the market all day.
Daily cycle Next settlement snapshot in --:--:-- · noon ET

City versus city

Field markets

Instead of one city against a line, the whole board competes. Pick from the field of ten — payouts scale with how contrarian your pick is.

Field of 10 citiesSettles on raw count

Most Crime Today

Which of the ten cities reports the most qualifying incidents? New York usually leads — which is exactly why the value hides elsewhere.

Example · field pays by pick
NYC 1.4× · CHI 3.1× · LA 4.8× · STL 41×

Lowest Crime

The flip side — which city stays quietest, adjusted per capita so small boards compete fairly. A market for the calm as much as the chaos.

Example · quiet-day field
PHX 2.2× · STL 2.9× · ATL 5.4× · NYC 30×

Biggest Increase

Pure momentum: which city jumps the most versus its own yesterday, in percent? Rewards reading the weather, the calendar, and the news cycle.

Example · day-over-day swing
MIA +18% · DAL +11% · HOU +6% · CHI −4%

Precision play

Exact Range

Skip over/under and call the bucket the final number lands in. Narrower target, bigger payout — the sharpest way to express a strong read on one city.

Settles on raw count

Houston · Total Crime — today's buckets

One bucket wins; every bucket is its own peer-to-peer pool. Multiples shown are illustrative — they float with how the crowd distributes.

≤ 259 7.2× 260–269 6.1× 270–279 4.4× 280–289 3.6× · crowd favorite 290–299 4.9× 300+ 5.8×

Severity-weighted

Score markets & the CrimeLine Index

Raw counts treat a shoplifting report and a robbery the same. The CrimeLine Score doesn't — every qualifying incident is weighted by severity, so Score markets trade on how a city's day actually felt.

Settles on weighted Score

City Score O/U Score

The same over/under mechanic, on the severity-weighted Score instead of the raw count. A day heavy on minor reports can go over on count and under on Score — two different markets, two different reads.

Example · Houston
Count 291 (over 287.5) · Score 388 (under 402.5)

CrimeLine Index Score

One market to rule them all: the weighted Score summed across every launch city, rolled into a single daily number. The macro trade — a position on the country's whole day, not one city's.

Example · Index line 2,847.5
All 10 cities settle → Index prints 2,861overs win

The full severity ladder, worked examples, and the fixed-rubric guarantee live in the rulebook →

From line to payout

How every market settles

1 · One source

Every market settles from a single licensed data provider — the same feed for everyone, on every market, every day. No house discretion, nothing to argue with.

2 · One snapshot

At noon ET the following day, the number is locked: raw counts for count markets, the weighted Score for Score markets. Late report revisions after the snapshot don't change a settled market.

3 · On-chain payout

The settlement number posts to Solana and winning positions are paid in USDC automatically — no claims process, and anyone can audit any result, forever.

Devnet beta

Be ready when the board opens.

Markets aren't live yet — CrimeLine is in devnet beta. Connect your Solana wallet now and your seat is ready the moment the first lines post.

See how it works