The daily market for public-safety data

Predict the Pulse of America's cities.

CrimeLine turns official city statistics into a daily prediction market. Call the number before it's released — over or under — and watch the line move in real time.

See today's board ↓
Settles from licensed data Snapshot at noon ET 10 U.S. cities at launch
Live boardDaily Total · settles noon ET

Today's board

Every city has a number.

Pick a market, pick a side. It's as simple as opening a sportsbook — but the outcome is real, measurable city data.

Markets open Next settlement in --:--:-- · noon ET

Live dashboard

Watch the line evolve.

Before settlement, every market is live. Track reported incidents against the projected finish and the probability of going over — updating through the day.

Houston · Daily Total

Live · settles in --:--:--
Reported so far
0
Projected finish
0
Prob. over 287.5
0%
0line 287.5350

The projection blends the current pace with historical settlement patterns for this weekday. As incidents post, the line — and the odds — move.

Hot city
Chicago
Running 14% above its line — the busiest board today.
Biggest surprise
Yesterday
Miami finished 41 under
Largest miss versus the posted line across all ten cities.
Streak
Chicago · 4 Unders
Four straight days under the line. Regression watch.

Markets

More ways to read the city.

Over/under is the flagship. Around it sits a full board of daily markets — city-versus-city, ranges, and one index that captures them all.

Over / Under

Total crime, violent crime, vehicle thefts, burglaries, robberies — call each city's number against the line.

Most Crime Today

Which city reports the most qualifying incidents? Pick the leader from the field before the day settles.

Lowest Crime

The flip side — which city stays quietest today. A market for the calm as much as the chaos.

Biggest Increase

Which city jumps the most versus yesterday? A pure momentum market on the day-over-day swing.

Exact Range

Skip over/under and nail the bucket: 260–269, 270–279, 280–289, 290–299, 300+. More precision, bigger payout.

CrimeLine Index

One market to rule them all: total qualifying incidents across every launch city, in a single daily number.

How it works

One source. One settlement. Fully transparent.

01

Lines post each morning

Every launch city opens with a line for each market, priced from historical data and the day's early pace.

02

You take a side

Over or under, a city, or a range. Build a slip, track it live, and watch the projection move all day.

03

Settles from a licensed feed

A single third-party data provider is snapshotted at a fixed time — noon Eastern the following day. Same source, every market.

Social

Build a slip. Climb the board.

Stack picks into a slip, share it, and see who reads the city best over a week, a month, a season.

Sample slip3 picks
HOU
Houston · Total 287.5
OVER
CHI
Chicago · Violent 53.5
UNDER
MIA
Miami · Most Crime — no
FIELD
This week · leaderboardTop readers
1nightdesk31–17+842
2the_actuary28–19+610
3precinct_926–20+455
4line_reader24–21+318
5quietmiami23–22+201

The bigger picture

Crime is just the first Line.

The same engine works on anything a city measures. CrimeLine is the flagship; the platform is a market for real-world public data.

CrimeLineLive first

Daily crime and public-safety totals across major U.S. cities. The flagship market.

WeatherLineNext

Rainfall, highs and lows, first-snow dates — the most-measured data on earth.

TrafficLineNext

Commute times, incident counts, and the daily gridlock index by metro.

FireLineNext

Fire, EMS and 911 call volumes — the other side of the public-safety desk.

EconomyLineNext

Airport delays, power outages, transit ridership — the city's daily economic pulse.

CityLineNext

Air quality, earthquakes, and everything else measurable, in one place.

Now forming · first cohort

Find the line. Beat the line.

CrimeLine is opening to a first group of players. Join the waitlist to get early access and help shape the launch board.

Explore the board
0 picks on your slip